Let $\{U_n\}_{n\ge 1}$ be an i.i,d. sequence of uniform r.v.s on [0,1]. For $i\ge j,$ let $M_{i,j}=\max(U_i,...,U_j).$ Let $Z_{i,j}=(j-i+1)(1-M_{i,j})$.
(1) Let $Y_n=Z_{1:2n}-2Z_{1:n}.$ Compute $\lim\sup_{n\to\infty}P(Y_n<-3)$.
(2) Does $\{Z_{1:n}\}_{n\ge 1}$ converges almost surely?
I find $Y_n=2\min(Z_{1:n},Z_{n+1:n})-2Z_{1:n}$, then $P(Y_n<-3)=P(2Z_{n+1:n}-2Z_{1:n}<-3,\min(Z_{1:n},Z_{n+1:n})=Z_{n+1:2n})$. But I don't know how to compute the limsup of this probability. And it seems we may use this result and Fatou's Lemma to get a contradiction, since we know $Z_{1:n}$ converges in distribution to exponential distribution with rate 1.