What is the simplest or easiest or most clear way that a mathematician could discover the normal distribution and the central limit theorem?
The derivation does not need to be rigorous. (Much of calculus was discovered and understood clearly before rigorous proofs were provided, and maybe a similar thing is true for the central limit theorem.)
It's ok if the answer is not historically accurate. (But I'd also be interested in knowing how the normal distribution was discovered historically.)
Is there a viewpoint that makes the central limit theorem intuitive or "obvious"?
