I have a question about this specific problem:
A communications network has a built in safeguard system against failures.In this system if line I fails, it is bypassed and line II is used. If line II also fails,it is bypassed and line III is used. The probability of failure of any one of these three lines is .01, and the failures of these lines are independent events. What is the probability that this system of three lines does not completely fail?
My intuition, which is wrong for this problem, tells me to do (0.99)^3, since that is the probability of the network's safeguard not failing.
This is however wrong, and I am supposed to do 1-(0.01)^3.
I guess I am wondering what the difference is and if anybody can give me any intuition into understanding how these two solutions are different.