I'm trying to analytically derive the following limit: $$ \lim_{x\to \infty}\left(\frac{1}{8}\right)\left(e^{1-\frac{\sqrt{x}}{2}}\right)\left(\frac{x}{x-\frac{\sqrt{x}}{2}+1}\right)^{x-\frac{\sqrt{x}}{2}+1} $$ I've found it extremely difficult because, as you apply L'Hospital's rule, you need to differentiate $x$ times, thus getting an infinite chain of differentiations (each one invoking the product rule).
WorlframAlpha says the limit is equal to $\frac{1}{8e^{1/8}}$ which seems to match perfectly the numerical estimates I've made with my computer up to $x=2\times10^4$, but it gives no explanation for how it derives this result. How can I analytically evaluate this limit? On it's face, it seems intractable. Yet there appears to be an analytical solution.
The purpose of evaluating this limit is to calculate the following limit of a combinatorial probability: $$\lim_{N\to\infty}\left(\frac{M^2(N!)}{2N^M(N-M+1)!}\right)$$ Where $M=\frac{N^{1/2}}{2}$.
The original limit above can be found by applying Sterling's Approximation on the second limit. If anyone is aware of any alternative techniques for analytically evaluating this second limit, that would be just as helpful.