In my research (I'm a physicist) I encountered an interesting expression that I'll describe to you. A lot of numerical evidence makes me believe that this expression always gives a positive number, but I'm out of ideas for how to prove that.
Let $r \in \mathbb R^N$ be a sorted probability vector ($r_k \in [0,1]$ and $\sum_k r_k = 1$ and $r_1 \geq \cdots \geq r_N$) and $x \geq 0$ is a real number. Let also $U \in \mathrm U(N)$ be a unitary matrix and $$ S = \begin{pmatrix} 0 & \cdots \\ 1 & 0 & \cdots \\ 0 & 1 & 0 & \cdots \\ & \ddots & \ddots & \ddots \end{pmatrix} \in \mathbb R^{N,N} $$ the right shift.
I have found the expression $$ \sum_{m,n} \left( r^n \mathbb e^x - r^m \mathbb e^{-x} \right) (1 + m - n)\, \left| (USU^\ast)_{nm} \right|^2 $$ to be positive for all choices of $x$, $r$ and $U$.
Note that for $U=1$, the expression is zero (because $S_{nm} = \delta_{n,1+m}$), and for $x=0$, it is trivially positive.
Any ideas? Counterexamples?