If you are given 3 standard 6-sided dice, and are asked to pick the order of the numbers that will appear; what is the probability that you will win, given that order DOES matter?
Probability of winning a pick 3 lotto game?
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probability
permutations
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0You choose what numbers are going to be rolled, and the order they are going to show up in. – 2012-10-14
3 Answers
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I guess, it's still 1/216. Similar to choosing a number between 000 and 999 with odds 1/1000.
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How many different orderings are there? clearly $3!$:
a>b>c a>c>b b>a>c b>c>a c>a>b c>b>a
where a,b,c are the first, second and third throw.
Is some order more likely than others? No, because of symmetry.
So the answer would be $\frac{1}{6}$.
The only thing that you did not clarify is what you want to do with ties... (I ignore them in this case)
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0@joriki I corrected it before you commented, but I think the OP might want to clarify what he meant by picking the order... I gave my own interpretation - that he is trying to guess the rank. – 2012-10-14
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The size of the probability space is $6^{3}$. The event that you guess the right sequence of numbers has size 1. Thus, the probability is $\frac{1}{216}$, in fact only 1 of the possible sequence is the right one (given that order matters).