Ok, well first let me say this is a fair question but I am not encouraging anyone to test it out. Its just for fun.
In Ireland we have to get our car road tested, taxed, and of course insured. If I decided to drive my car without tax or insurance, the police could stop me and take the car away and also issue me with a big fine.
If I knew there were approximately X number of police in my area, across 3 eight hour shifts. And that they do Y number of car checkpoints (where they stop on the road and check cars passing for tax, insurance and dui) during each shift. And if I also knew that there are approximately Z number of cars in my area.
Then given a specified timeframe and a specfied average amount of driving time within that time frame. For example, over 1 year period, I might drive on average 2 hours per day. And the average in my area would be around 3 hours per day (inclusive of commercial traffic). Effectively I drive less than average. (or more depending on the numbers)
How can I work out the chances of being stopped by the police at a checkpoint? :->
Also, if you have answered the above successfully. Now show me that if I knew the approximate times and locations of such checkpoints, so they could be almost avoided. Of course my information will only be right a given percentage of the time (lets say 75%).
Now how can I work out my chances of being stopped by the police at a checkpoint? :->
Cheers!