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Suppose Bob has 50% chance to stand at each of two points $p_1, p_2$ on a unit circle. If one tries to naïvely answer the question "what is Bob's average position on the circle", an ambiguity shows up: the answer can be either the midpoint along the shortest arc between $p_{1,2}$ or along the longest.

More generally, any probability distribution for a position on the circle will seem to have an ambiguous mean. This will seem to also lead to ambiguity in the definition of the variance and higher moments.

The question is: is there a systematic way of dealing or getting rid of this ambiguity? (Note: I'm not interested in answers that assume the circle is embedded in a higher-dimensional space such as a plane, and give as an answer a point outside it. I want a point on the circle itself).

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    @Didier: b$a$sic$a$lly $a$ll I k$n$ow $a$bout direction$a$l st$a$tistics is that they have a Wikipedia article.2011-05-06

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It depends on what you mean by "systematic". You can arbitrarily place a cut somewhere and parametrize the circle using angles $\phi\in[0,2\pi]$. The moments of these angles are unambiguous, but also arbitrary. There can't be a non-arbitrary way to do this because of the symmetry of the circle. If you have two points opposite each other, or more generally $n$ points at angles $2\pi/n$, there's no reason to pick any particular point as the average.

If you have additional structure on the circle, i.e. the circle is $U(1)$ or $\{z\in\mathbb C\mid \lvert z\rvert=1\}$, then you can use that for a less arbitrary definition of angles measured from the identity, but I doubt that the result will be particularly useful.

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    yes it does sound like this. Thanks!2011-05-07
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If you wish to have a specific, unambiguous "average position" for any distribution then, in particular, you expect to have one for the uniform distribution. This implies that whatever your definition is, it must give preference to some point on the circle.

Granting that, you can parametrize the circle by the angle $\theta$ relative to some fixed radius. With that, the average and all other moments are unambiguously defined as $\int \theta^k dp(\theta)$. Of course this definition breaks the symmetry of the circle but, as we've seen, this is unavoidable.

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    sure, corrected. I didn't define $p$ either way, assumed it was clear from context.2011-05-06